ARSENAL INTELLIGENCE

GLOBAL MILITARY CAPABILITIES

Tripartite Weapons Systems Analysis — Iran · USA · Israel | 2026

🇮🇷 IRAN
Islamic Republic — Offensive Arsenal & Proxy Network
35 SYSTEMS DOCUMENTED
BALLISTIC
6 PHOTOS
Shahab-3
20031,300 kmCEP 2500m

Iran's first Israel-reaching missile. Based on North Korean Nodong. 2,500m CEP — inaccurate but mass-use capable.

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BALLISTIC
5 PHOTOS
Ghadr-H / Ghadr-F
20071,950 kmCEP 800m

Modified Shahab-3 with separating RV for better accuracy. Can reach all of Israel from western Iran.

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BALLISTIC
3 PHOTOS
Emad
20151,700 kmCEP 500m

First Iranian MRBM with precision guidance (fins). Demonstrated in Operation True Promise strikes.

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BALLISTIC
3 PHOTOS
Zolfaghar
2016700 kmCEP 50m

Short-range precision strike. Used against ISIS in Syria 2017. Ideal for US Gulf bases.

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BALLISTIC
4 PHOTOS
Dezful
20191,000 kmCEP 100m

Improved Zolfaghar. Underground launch capability demonstrated.

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BALLISTIC
7 PHOTOS
Khorramshahr-4 'Kheibar'
20232,000 kmCEP 30m

Iran's most capable MRBM. 1,500kg warhead (largest in arsenal). Covers all of Israel and SE Europe. CEP ~30m with terminal guidance.

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BALLISTIC★ KEY ASSET
8 PHOTOS
Fattah-1 (Hypersonic)
20231,400 kmCEP 50m

Mach 13-15 hypersonic glide vehicle. Maneuvering RV defeats most TMD. Arrow-3 and THAAD marginal against it. GAME-CHANGER.

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BALLISTIC★ KEY ASSET
7 PHOTOS
Fattah-2
20241,500 kmCEP 30m

Upgraded Fattah with dual-stage motor and improved terminal maneuverability. Claimed Mach 15. Tested March 2025.

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CRUISE
6 PHOTOS
Soumar / Hoveizeh
20152,000 kmCEP 100m

Land-attack cruise missile based on Soviet Kh-55. Hoveizeh (2019) extends range to 1,350km+. Flies at low altitude, radar evasion.

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CRUISE
4 PHOTOS
Paveh
20231,650 kmCEP 50m

Turbofan-powered LACM. Designed specifically to defeat air defense networks via terrain-hugging.

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CRUISE★ KEY ASSET
7 PHOTOS
Shahed-136 (Geranium)
20212,500 kmCEP 10m

Loitering munition. Delta-wing, $20,000 unit cost. Saturated Ukrainian and Israeli air defenses. Produced at scale (10,000+). IRGC exports to Russia, Houthis.

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CRUISE
2 PHOTOS
Shahed-238 (Jet-powered)
20231,800 kmCEP 5m

Jet-powered variant of Shahed-136. Mach 0.8+, defeats slower interceptors. Infrared signature reduction.

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AXIS★ KEY ASSET
3 PHOTOS
Hezbollah (Lebanon)
1982300 km

150,000+ rockets and missiles. Fateh-110 precision missiles (CEP 10m). Kornet ATGMs. Radwan special forces (15,000). 40,000 active fighters. Iran's most capable proxy — existential threat to northern Israel.

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AXIS⊕ X-SECT★ KEY ASSET
Houthis / Ansar Allah (Yemen)
20142,000 kmCEP 200m

Burkan-3 ballistic missiles (Riyadh, UAE strikes). Shahed-136 drones. Aquid anti-ship missiles. Red Sea shipping blockade (2023-present): 100+ attacks. Israel strikes 2024-25.

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AXIS⊕ X-SECT
IRGC-Quds Force Iraq Proxies (PMF/KH)
2005500 kmCEP 50m

Kataib Hezbollah, Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, Asaib Ahl al-Haq. 200+ rocket/drone attacks on US forces Iraq/Syria 2023-24. Katyusha, 107mm rockets, Burkan UAVs.

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AXIS
2 PHOTOS
DEGRADED
Hamas / PIJ (Gaza)
2006250 kmCEP 500m

Qassam, M-75, J-80 rockets. October 7, 2023 attack: 1,200 Israelis killed, 250 hostages. Hamas military wing significantly degraded in 2023-24 war but not destroyed.

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AXIS⊕ X-SECT
DEGRADED
Syrian Forces / IRGC Syria Presence
2012300 km

IRGC had 80,000+ personnel/militias in Syria pre-2024. Assad fall (Dec 2024) collapsed this corridor. Now remnant cells only. Major blow to Iran's 'land bridge' to Hezbollah.

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NAVAL★ KEY ASSET
7 PHOTOS
Anti-Ship Missiles (Noor / Qader / Nasr)
2006300 kmCEP 10m

Noor (C-802 copy): sank an Israeli corvette (INS Hanit) in 2006. Qader: 200km range. Nasr-1: coastal defense. Khalij Fars: anti-ship ballistic missile.

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NAVAL★ KEY ASSET
Strait of Hormuz Closure Capability
1980

20% of world's oil passes through. Iran can mine strait in 48hrs. IRGCN fast-boat swarm (1,000+ vessels). Submarine force (Kilo, Fateh-class). Threat alone moves oil markets 10-20%.

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NAVAL
IRGC Fast-Boat Swarm Tactics
2000

500-1000 small fast boats in mass attack. Overwhelm point-defense systems. 2019: seized UK tanker Stena Impero. 2021+: seized multiple vessels. Harassed US Navy repeatedly.

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AIR
3 PHOTOS
S-300PMU-2 (Russian)
2016200 km

Russia delivered 4 batteries after sanctions lifted. Effective against F-15/F-16 but limited vs stealth. Partially degraded by Operation Silent Judgment (Dec 2025).

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AIR
5 PHOTOS
Bavar-373 (Indigenous)
2019300 km

Iranian claim: equivalent to S-400. Independent assessment: S-300PMU-1 level. 4-6 batteries operational. Targets: aircraft, cruise missiles, MRBM warheads.

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AIR★ KEY ASSET
Khordad-3 / Khordad-15
201475 km

Khordad-3 shot down US Navy RQ-4 Global Hawk (June 2019) — $130M asset. Mobile, hard to target. Khordad-15 (2019): claimed to defeat stealth.

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AIR
Arman / Sayyad-4 (Long-range)
2021120 km

Designed to intercept ballistic missiles and high-altitude targets. Limited but improving.

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DRONE
Shahed-129 (MALE)
20121,700 kmCEP 5m

Medium-altitude long-endurance. 24hr loiter. Sadid guided munitions. Used extensively in Syria. Iran's Predator equivalent.

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DRONE★ KEY ASSET
Arash-2 (Kamikaze)
20222,000 kmCEP 5m

Long-range precision kamikaze drone. Jet-powered, low radar cross-section. Can reach Israel from Iran without aerial refueling.

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DRONE
4 PHOTOS
Mohajer-10
20232,000 kmCEP 3m

Latest MALE drone. Turboprop engine. 24hr+ endurance. Carries Qaem laser-guided bombs and Almas anti-tank missiles.

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NUCLEAR★ KEY ASSET
4 PHOTOS
Enrichment Cascade (IR-6 / IR-8)
2019

IR-6 centrifuge: 10x faster than IR-1. IR-8: 20x. Fordow underground: ~3,000 advanced centrifuges. Natanz: 20,000+ IR-1 + advanced. 90% enrichment confirmed Sep 2025.

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NUCLEAR★ KEY ASSET
5 PHOTOS
Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant
2011

90m underground in mountain near Qom. Beyond reach of conventional GBU-57 MOP. Only B83 nuclear bunker buster or GBU-57 salvo could reach. US used it as strike target in May 2025 with partial success.

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NUCLEAR★ KEY ASSET
3 PHOTOS
CRITICAL
Breakout Timeline

With 90% enrichment capability and 84kg HEU stockpile: estimated 2-4 weeks to enrich sufficient material for 1 device. Weaponization (miniaturized warhead): 6-12 months additional. Total: ~1 year to deployable weapon.

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CYBER★ KEY ASSET
APT33 / Charming Kitten / Peach Sandstorm
2013

IRGC-linked APT. Targeted: US defense contractors, Israeli gov networks, Saudi Aramco. Shamoon wiper malware (2012/2017): wiped 35,000 Saudi Aramco computers. 2024: breached Trump campaign servers.

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CYBER★ KEY ASSET
2 PHOTOS
GPS Spoofing / RQ-170 Capture
2011

2011: Iran captured CIA RQ-170 Sentinel via GPS spoofing — forced it to land intact. Reverse-engineered stealth drone. Active GPS jamming over Tehran and Strait of Hormuz region.

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CYBER⊕ X-SECT
Offensive Cyber (Infrastructure Targeting)
2012

2021-2025: Multiple attacks on Israeli water infrastructure, hospital systems. 2022: Albania state takedown (Homeland Justice). 2025: Leaked CENTCOM deployment data. Growing SCADA/ICS attack capability.

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SPACE★ KEY ASSET
4 PHOTOS
Noor Reconnaissance Satellites
2020

Noor-1 (2020), Noor-2 (2022), Noor-3 (2023): Low-earth orbit ISR satellites launched by IRGC. Used to track US carrier positions, Israeli military movements. Resolution: ~10m (estimated).

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SPACE★ KEY ASSET
3 PHOTOS
Qased / Zuljanah SLVs
2020

Satellite launch vehicles developed by IRGC. Qased successfully orbited Noor-1. Technology directly transferable to ICBM development (same propulsion, staging). US designates as 'ICBM-capable'.

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🇮🇱 Threat vs Israel
Primary vectors
🚀 Ballistic Missiles🌐 Axis of Resistance (Proxies)☢️ Nuclear Program

Simultaneous multi-front: Hezbollah north (150k rockets) + Iran direct (MRBM) + Houthi south + Hamas. Iron Dome / Arrow-3 can be saturated at scale.

🇺🇸 Threat vs USA
Primary vectors
🚢 Naval & Strait Control🌐 Axis of Resistance (Proxies)💻 Cyber & Electronic Warfare

Strait of Hormuz closure + proxy harassment of US bases across CENTCOM AOR + cyber attacks on critical infrastructure. Asymmetric approach: never fight US head-on.


2006
Hezbollah-Israel War: Iran-supplied Noor missile hits INS Hanit. Fajr-3/5 rockets overwhelm northern Israel. Iran proven as force multiplier.
2010
Stuxnet worm (US/Israel) destroys 1,000+ Iranian centrifuges. Iran responds by massively expanding underground facilities and cyber program.
2011
Iran captures CIA RQ-170 Sentinel via GPS spoofing. Reverse-engineers stealth technology. Major intelligence coup.
2013
Emad precision missile program begins. Shift from mass-quantity to precision. Iran begins exporting Shahed drones to proxies.
2020
Qasem Soleimani assassinated by US (Jan). Iran fires 22 Qiam missiles at Al-Asad base — proves can hit hardened targets. No US casualties (warning given). Iran vows 'severe revenge'.
2023
Fattah-1 hypersonic missile deployed. Noor-3 satellite operational. Shahed-136 proven in Ukraine (1,500+ used). Houthi Red Sea campaign begins.
2024
True Promise I & II (Apr-Oct): First ever direct Iran-Israel strikes exchange. 300+ missiles/drones in first wave. Israel's Arrow-3 and allied interceptors achieve ~90% kill rate — but Iran learns lessons.
2025
Iran achieves 90% enrichment. Fattah-2 hypersonic deployed. True Promise III (185 missiles) demonstrates refined saturation tactics. IRGC confirms satellite-guided targeting for precision strikes.
SATELLITE UPLINK: 34.8816°N 50.9800°E
ENCRYPTION: AES-256-GCM [ACTIVE]
CLEARANCE LEVEL: 5 / TK / SI-GAMMA
THEATER: IRAN · MIDDLE EAST · RED SEA
OPERATION: EPIC FURY [AUTHORIZED]
UPLINK ACQUIRED
34.8816°N · 50.9800°E · FORDOW ENRICHMENT FACILITY
34.88°N 50.98°E
TOP SECRET // NOFORN
THEATER: IRAN · OPS ACTIVE
SIGNAL STRENGTH: 98.7%